Papersprediabetes6190831

Trajectories of changes in glucose tolerance in a multiethnic cohort of obese youths: An observational prospective analysis

The Lancet. Child & adolescent health · 01-10-2018 · 6190831 on PMC →
49 citations FWCI 2.99 Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet Read PDF → Trend
Citation data as of 2026-04-12 (OpenAlex).
Entities in this paper
Natural History IGT reversion Beta-cell compensatory hyper-responsiveness progression from normal glucose tolerance to impaired glucose tolerance Impaired glucose tolerance in obese Impaired Glucose Tolerance reversion to normal glucose tolerance Diabetes mellitus due to genetic defect in beta cell function progression from normal glucose tolerance to impaired glucose tolerance

Extracted findings (5)

Natural History
improvement

In a multiethnic cohort of 162 obese youth with baseline impaired glucose tolerance followed prospectively for a mean of 2.9 years with standard-of-care dietary counseling, 65% reverted to normal gluc

Effect: improvement; 65% reversion rate (IGT to NGT)

Size: 65% reversion rate (IGT to NGT)
IGT reversion
improvement

Non-Hispanic White ethnic background conferred a 5-fold greater odds of reverting from impaired glucose tolerance to normal glucose tolerance compared to Non-Hispanic Black, after adjusting for family

Effect: improvement; OR 5.06; CI: 95% CI 1.86, 13.76

Size: OR 5.06 CI: 95% CI 1.86, 13.76

Obese youth who reverted from IGT to NGT exhibited a 4-fold increase in oral disposition index, reflecting dynamic beta-cell hyper-responsiveness, while those who persisted with IGT or progressed to T

Effect: improvement; 4-fold increase in oDI (from 0.94 to 3.90)

Size: 4-fold increase in oDI (from 0.94 to 3.90)

Ethnicity was not a statistically significant predictor of progression from normal glucose tolerance to impaired glucose tolerance in obese youth, unlike its strong role in predicting IGT reversion, w

Effect: null; OR not reported (p=NS)

Size: OR not reported (p=NS)
Natural History
decline

Among 364 obese youth with normal glucose tolerance at baseline, 14% progressed to impaired glucose tolerance over 2.9 years, with progression characterized by a significant decline in beta-cell funct

Effect: decline; 14% progression rate (NGT to IGT)

Size: 14% progression rate (NGT to IGT)